Market update: 5 November 2024
The ASX 200 faced a challenging week, closing 1.1% lower at its weakest level in seven weeks. Losses were broad, with only Technology (+2.5%) and Materials (+0.4%) sectors managing gains. As Australia tracked global selloffs ahead of the US Federal Reserve meeting and the presidential election, expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s first rate cut were pushed further out, now anticipated in July next year. This follows quarterly CPI data showing core inflation rose 0.8%, exceeding forecasts of 0.7%.
In the US, all major indices ended lower with the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones slipping 1.5%, 1.4%, and 0.1%, respectively. The latest jobs report revealed only 12,000 new jobs in October—well below the expected 100,000—indicating a softening in the labour market. However, the US economy grew at a strong 2.8% in Q3, driven by consumer spending.
European markets also closed lower, marking a third consecutive week of losses. The Euro Stoxx 600, Euro Stoxx 50, and FTSE fell 1.5%, 1.3%, and 0.9%, respectively, with earnings results falling short of expectations. The UK’s latest budget release and higher-than-expected inflation in the Eurozone add to the uncertainty as investors await US developments next week.
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng indices slipped 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively, as mixed economic data emerged from China. The National Bureau of Statistics reported improved manufacturing activity, but the services sector lagged. Investors are now focusing on the National People’s Congress in early November for potential fiscal policy updates. Meanwhile, Japan saw modest gains, with the Nikkei up 0.4% after the Bank of Japan maintained its interest rate, with cautious optimism about the economic outlook.
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